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Tuesday, 27 May 2014

Investors Dilemma – Is equity a good bet now?

Since independence first time the people of India has given a clear mandate to non congress rightist party lead by Mr. Narendra Modi. He has proved himself to be pro development and his Gujarat model is well accepted by the people of India. Undoubtedly the mandate is for growth and development in the country. Not only people of India are looking for positive change but mood outside India is also jubilant. The NRI'S have also welcomed the change and we have seen celebration outside India too.

The expectations are naturally high but we have also to be realistic and see the ground realities before taking aggressive stand.  The economy is not in good shape and there are lot of concerns to be addressed. We have not seen major action in last few years and there was totally a policy paralysis. But, one major change at centre changed the things overnight. The stable Government at centre means a lot of actions on economic front in near future. The confidence of the investor's across world has increased and we are likely to see major activities in trade and business soon. Yes, there is a lot of hope and aspirations across India and also reasons to believe that new Government will deliver.

The Sensex and Nifty are near at all time high and investors are confused and are in dilemma that what to do. The existing investors call us to know whether to book the profit now and shift part to debt or stop SIPs. On the other hand the set of new investors think stock market will do much better than other asset class and would like to jump in without knowing the risk involved in it.

Investors must also try to understand equity as an asset class before investing. Every asset class has its risk reward ratio and before investing investors must know this. Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing. Higher the return higher is the risk and vice a versa. You cannot expect overnight profit from equity as it is always a long term game. If you understand and follow the basic rules of investing in equity then you are likely to gain in longer run. Your time horizon for investing in equity should be minimum 5 years and above. You must invest as per your asset allocation ratio and never go overboard and concentrate on single asset class. Never try to time the market and always stay invested is the success mantra for investing in equity.

Here are some tips for the investor’s which can help them taking any investment decision in equity in present bull run.

1) Avoid Direct Equity Investment:

Direct investment through stock markets requires in depth research and analysis. We firmly believe that individually it is not possible for us to do so and devote time for the same. Therefore, it is not recommend investing directly in equity. Also avoid investing in ULIPs or PMS.  

2) Mutual Fund is best option:

We strongly advise our clients to invest through mutual fund schemes. Mutual Fund Investment can help a lot to investors. You get the benefit of diversification when you invest through MF schemes. You also get the advantage of professional management and easily compare the fund performance vis a vis other schemes in the same category and its benchmark index. Instead of investing in sectoral or thematic funds, invest in well-diversified funds, which invest in stocks of many sectors, which give good diversification across sectors.

3) SIP is the proven strategy.

SIP in mutual fund schemes is the best solution for investing in equity for the long term. SIP is the way of creating wealth by investing fixed amount regularly month on month on a selected date in one of mutual fund scheme. The advantage you get is rupee cost averaging, which lowers the average cost. Secondly you are not worried about daily volatility of the market and it makes market timing irrelevant.

4) Monitor and Review the performance:

It is always advisable to monitor and review the performance of the scheme in which you have invested. Your fund can not stay in first three always but has to remain in first quartile at least. The active fund has to beat its benchmark and if your fund does not perform better compared to benchmark consistently you need to take a call and shift your investment to other performing fund.

5) Rebalance your portfolio:

Asset Allocation plays a major role in deciding your returns over a period of time. Your portfolio returns more depends on asset allocation than fund performance. Asset Allocation once decided should be followed seriously and accordingly should be rebalanced periodically. Rebalancing is the process of restoring your portfolio back to its original asset allocation. Rebalancing generally should be done every year or when you get some good profits from one asset class like today.

6) Stay away from IPOs and NFOs:

In upward market we always see more and more new offerings come in the market as everybody would like to take advantage of rising market. This period is good for IPO not only because you get the good response but also get the premium which otherwise unlikely to get. NFOs are also not good and we advise our clients to invest in the equity scheme only if it has completed three years and has proven track record.


Don’t be greedy in the high market but do some home work before investing in equity. The expectation of higher return without understanding the risk involved sometimes leads to big financial loss.